Long-Hood
0x4867293b553c91c8f35a8fd811660d23c353a6f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-261.05
Realised
$-13.68
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July?
420 shares @ 87.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$353.13
$-12.61
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
591 shares @ 62.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$227.47
$-138.85
- NO
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31?
260 shares @ 88.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$209.63
$-19.53
- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on July 30?
139 shares @ 89.2¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$114.96
$-9.34
- NO
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$77.41
$-13.48
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.88
$-1.13
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Greater China revenue be above $20B?
20 shares @ 90.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$14.90
$-3.10
- NO
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $8.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 87.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.60
$-3.80
- NO
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
20 shares @ 89.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.50
$-6.30
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 30?
20 shares @ 60.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$10.98
$-1.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 30?$52.53Jul 30, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 30?$6.70Jul 30, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 30?$6.70Jul 30, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 30?$12.20Jul 30, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$5.55Jul 30, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$3.89Jul 30, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$11.87Jul 30, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$20.75Jul 30, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 30?$65.93Jul 30, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.20Jul 30, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.00Jul 30, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 7+ times during Tele-Rallies?$0.04Jul 30, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on July 30?$43.24Jul 30, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on July 30?$81.31Jul 30, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?$6.52Jul 30, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?$4.45Jul 30, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?$10.80Jul 30, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?$20.00Jul 30, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 30?$1.68Jul 30, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 30?$1.74Jul 30, 04:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $56.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 07:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.