Physical-Raise
0x489a1fbe61531116a66d234c6802bc7bcd8bdd38
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$10.48
Total PnL
$-6.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.64
$0.00
- YES
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.98
$0.02
- NO
Will Zelenskyy meet with Netanyahu in 2025?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.86
$0.01
- NO
Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$1.63
$0.02
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$0.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.12
$0.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 20,000,000 and 22,000,000?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 5AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$2.64Jun 1, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?$1.96May 9, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 120-139 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$1.61Apr 15, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?$1.12Mar 30, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$1.25Mar 29, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy meet with Netanyahu in 2025?$1.85Dec 30, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.48Dec 29, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$8.87Dec 29, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$9.35Dec 29, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.09Dec 26, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.26Dec 26, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.35Dec 26, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.85Dec 24, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.85Dec 24, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.03Dec 24, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.62Dec 24, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.65Dec 24, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.48Dec 24, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$9.47Dec 24, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$9.95Dec 23, 08:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 01:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 02:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".