Deafening-Spread
0x489d3df3601288940f89d56b5642b0951129f6e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
127
Open notional
$919.65
Total PnL
$-289.80
Realised
$6.15
Win rate
75%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- YES
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?
410 shares @ 42.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$178.35
$6.15
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
127 shares @ 78.5¢·now 77.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$98.30
$-1.70
- NO
Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC end in a draw?
85 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$80.33
$0.42
- YES
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-07-29?
145 shares @ 45.7¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$64.40
$-1.72
- NO
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-01?
66 shares @ 76.3¢·now 74.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$49.40
$-1.21
- NO
Will Larne FC win on 2026-07-29?
50 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$48.92
$0.27
- YES
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-30?
40 shares @ 74.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$29.00
$-0.60
- NO
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-07-29?
29 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$21.05
$-0.15
- ALEX DE MINAUR
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
36 shares @ 56.8¢·now 57.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$20.63
$0.26
- YES
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-07-29?
20 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$18.30
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Alice Rame vs Margaux Rouvroy$2.75Jul 29, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva$2.25Jul 29, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiberec: Joel Schwaerzler vs Martin Krumich$1.39Jul 29, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres$13.00Jul 29, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiberec: Joel Schwaerzler vs Martin Krumich$2.90Jul 29, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMLos Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet$10.56Jul 29, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fortaleza EC win on 2026-07-28?$5.00Jul 29, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$2.10Jul 29, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants$12.00Jul 29, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$20.00Jul 29, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury$6.60Jul 29, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury$6.60Jul 29, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYVancouver: Ariana Arseneault vs Annabelle Xu$3.90Jul 29, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5$5.00Jul 29, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5$5.00Jul 29, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5$5.00Jul 29, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$24.00Jul 29, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5$5.00Jul 29, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks$22.00Jul 29, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMThe Memphis Classic: Renata Zarazua vs McCartney Kessler$15.00Jul 29, 04:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $2.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 03:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 05:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.