Boring-Uncertainty
0x48aa17c17761e305a5e14725cae5559c2f99f069
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-478.07
Realised
$-138.78
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
8562 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-77.06
- NO
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
6145 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-86.66
- YES
Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
6089 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-55.34
- YES
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
742 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.13
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
378 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?
362 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
266 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.99
- YES
Will Trump say "Boeing" during WEF Address on January 21?
171 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-49.46
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?
115 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$3.99Apr 22, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$3.99Apr 22, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$17.30Apr 22, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLViktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?$5.20Apr 22, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$12.10Apr 22, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$13.00Apr 18, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$13.00Apr 18, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?$28.92Apr 14, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$13.00Apr 14, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?$3.14Apr 14, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?$0.00Jan 24, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Boeing" during WEF Address on January 21?$49.46Jan 21, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$49.46Jan 21, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$54.37Jan 20, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 14, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 14, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 9, 2026?$0.00Jan 14, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?$0.00Jan 14, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?$0.00Jan 14, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$9.91Jan 12, 18:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $13.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 23:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 04:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".