Doting-Republic
0x48c3cc46a50a975e95e788b21acdfb079b5f6237
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$138.83
Total PnL
$-0.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
52 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$52.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
34 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$33.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?
32 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$31.81
$-0.19
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?
21 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$21.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$34.00May 13, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$52.01May 13, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?$32.00May 13, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?$21.00May 13, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 11?$42.04May 13, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$45.04May 13, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$68.06May 13, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 11?$42.00Apr 9, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$68.00Apr 9, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$45.00Apr 9, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$36.04Apr 9, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$59.18Apr 9, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$66.77Apr 9, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$66.48Mar 8, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$36.00Mar 8, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$59.00Mar 8, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 15?$23.02Mar 8, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$53.37Mar 8, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$85.08Mar 8, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$53.32Feb 14, 15:47 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $673.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 12:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 13:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".