Whirlwind-Endothelium
0x48c7dc71252b70ccea876b386ebea3cae84ae4b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.2K
Realised
$-24.14
Win rate
3%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
10716 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-198.20
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
7500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- YES
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
6675 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- NO
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
6183 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-145.17
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
4751 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-230.92
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 24, 2026?
3114 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-104.48
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?
3018 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
2632 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-246.16
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
2503 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- RICO
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
1949 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-153.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?$109.61Jul 12, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?$84.19Jul 11, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?$100.00Jul 10, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$50.00Jul 5, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$100.00Jul 5, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?$185.52Jul 1, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$51.83Jul 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$200.36Jun 30, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$29.49Jun 30, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?$28.69Jun 30, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?$30.88Jun 30, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$51.24Jun 30, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$102.36Jun 30, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$77.31Jun 30, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$77.78Jun 30, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$103.66Jun 30, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$103.55Jun 30, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$101.16Jun 30, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?$100.44Jun 30, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$281.17Jun 30, 22:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 34 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
34 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $94.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 08:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 11:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.