Decent-Girlfriend
0x48e547ba447591b9936cd25fff650dcde68a38e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$80.00
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?
60 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.00
$1.02
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
20 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.00
$0.36
- PACERS
Pacers vs. Cavaliers
5900 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-767.00
- PACERS
Raptors vs. Pacers
2300 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-621.00
- CELTICS
Nets vs. Celtics
1600 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- NO
Will Portugal win on 2025-11-16?
800 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-56.00
- NO
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
200 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.76
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: December
190 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-51.30
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
180 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.12
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
135 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$19.64Jun 26, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?$58.98Jun 3, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$80.00May 17, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$79.46May 11, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.23May 11, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$70.00May 11, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$9.45Apr 19, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$60.00Apr 19, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$68.18Mar 26, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$66.00Mar 26, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$25.40Mar 14, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$39.04Mar 14, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$53.70Feb 20, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?$100.00Feb 20, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?$95.20Jan 18, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$20.00Jan 18, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$100.00Jan 18, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$17.80Dec 15, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$96.00Dec 7, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: December$51.30Dec 7, 13:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $337.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 13:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 13:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.