Gracious-Gammaray
0x48f97930ac76cf00a8cc95deea81704f7f08e61d
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-5.6K
Realised
$-2.0K
Win rate
25%
51 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
24638 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$332.61
$-244.11
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
1499 shares @ 17.9¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$322.18
$54.43
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
400 shares @ 31.5¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$126.00
$0.08
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1527 shares @ 10.3¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$114.49
$-42.65
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
4100 shares @ 4.5¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$92.25
$-94.59
- YES
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
2084 shares @ 5.9¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$90.45
$-33.54
- YES
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
2574 shares @ 1.3¢·now 3.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$87.52
$54.00
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
1444 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$79.41
$-22.22
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 7.1¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$74.53
$3.23
- YES
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
655 shares @ 11.2¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.74
$-4.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$12.72May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.33May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.02May 17, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.02May 17, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.03May 17, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$19.29May 17, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$25.64May 17, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$32.00May 17, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $7.74May 17, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$19.69May 17, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $6.01May 17, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$16.00May 17, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$69.72May 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke before 2027?$48.89May 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$60.00May 17, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$60.00May 17, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$24.40May 17, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$96.00May 17, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.02May 17, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $29.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 01:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 51 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".