Substantial-Detainee
0x49054669d80c2fc0dc229eecbee16f3b6cd925e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$3.64
Total PnL
$-89.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
9 shares @ 35.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.64
$0.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12AM ET
1963 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 8?
124 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-17.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7AM ET
84 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 22?
82 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 21?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 9?
27 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-12.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 22?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12?
20 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20?
14 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 22?$3.00Mar 22, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8PM ET$3.00Mar 22, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$3.00Mar 22, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 12?$10.00Mar 11, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12AM ET$20.00Mar 11, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 9?$3.00Mar 9, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 9?$10.00Mar 8, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 8?$10.00Mar 8, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 8?$7.80Mar 8, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 7?$1.00Mar 6, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4PM ET$83.33Mar 6, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4PM ET$10.00Mar 5, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7AM ET$10.00Mar 3, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on February 28?$6.38Mar 3, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 28?$3.00Feb 28, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on February 27?$24.39Feb 28, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 27?$10.00Feb 27, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2PM ET$1.04Feb 27, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2PM ET$1.00Feb 23, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on February 23?$5.26Feb 23, 19:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 00:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".