Testy-Carload
0x49120a2f48a749709a834963d7a4695a85ceccac
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-366.76
Realised
$-1.89
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins
2904 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies
2904 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline
2904 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- NO
Will CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol end in a draw?
2410 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.41
- YES
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-07?
2166 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- NO
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-07?
1956 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- NO
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-05-07?
1956 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- 76ERS
76ers vs. Knicks
64 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-19.15
- CINCINNATI REDS
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
58 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-19.66
- NO
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-04?
53 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.16
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.50May 11, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$4.45May 11, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$1.91May 11, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$2.00May 10, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$1.81May 10, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$2.54May 10, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$2.00May 10, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1.89May 10, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$2.00May 10, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.98May 10, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$2.00May 10, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$1.66May 10, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$0.00May 10, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$2.00May 10, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$1.72May 10, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.93May 10, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.86May 10, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$2.00May 10, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.74May 10, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$2.00May 10, 05:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 04:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 03:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.