Windy-Tshirt
0x4914ba10d129d216853df50badd3e6deef25742d
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$8.70
Total PnL
$-55.81
Realised
$14.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
40 shares @ 34.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.60
$-9.00
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
50 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.10
$-2.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
72 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
35 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.51
- NO
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?
30 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.30
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
25 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-7.50
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
25 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.75
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 25?
25 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
13 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.00Apr 17, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.00Apr 17, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.08Apr 8, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.00Apr 4, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$13.60Jan 18, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 6?$10.00Jan 6, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 6?$5.90Jan 6, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India by November 30?$10.00Jan 6, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$5.50Jan 6, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.70Nov 25, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 25?$5.25Nov 25, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$16.40Nov 25, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?$10.00Nov 25, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$6.75Nov 22, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$6.40Nov 22, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$6.51Nov 21, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?$4.75Nov 21, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?$13.55Nov 21, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India by November 30?$5.50Nov 21, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$4.80Nov 21, 16:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $8.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 13:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.