Shallow-Appropriation
0x4915374e92aaa99fae59b7f3ba5bd0e1f90cbef1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$16.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
2328 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
1892 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will Hillary say "President" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?
1062 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
1002 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Iran strike three countries in March?
896 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
801 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Hillary say "Trump" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?
716 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?$4.00Apr 23, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$10.00Apr 23, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?$7.00Apr 23, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$10.00Apr 23, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$30.19Apr 23, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$36.00Mar 19, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$50.00Mar 19, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$50.00Mar 19, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$20.00Mar 19, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$20.00Mar 19, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$50.00Mar 19, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$20.00Mar 19, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$50.00Mar 19, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?$15.00Mar 19, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$50.00Mar 19, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$15.00Mar 10, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$10.00Mar 10, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$15.00Mar 10, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$25.00Mar 10, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?$25.00Mar 10, 06:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $28.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 06:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 04:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.