Uncomfortable-Glory
0x4919fb285f12dfde112635c9f67bfd69394633fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$245.52
Total PnL
$-434.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
165 shares @ 91.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$144.11
$-5.89
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
341 shares @ 22.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$56.18
$-18.82
- YES
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
1053 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$30.53
$10.53
- YES
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
1263 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$8.21
$-6.79
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
213 shares @ 4.7¢·now 3.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$6.49
$-3.51
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R House
542 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
396 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?
290 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump win 1 swing state?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump get 66-68m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
284 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$50.20May 18, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?$30.00Apr 27, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$75.00Apr 27, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$100.00Apr 27, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.00Apr 7, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMLeft-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?$0.00Apr 7, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?$48.86Apr 7, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMLeft-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?$114.69Apr 7, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMFrench election called by October 17?$0.00Mar 26, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$21.13Mar 26, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charles Hittler be the next mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube?$73.04Mar 26, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?$89.66Mar 26, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?$37.53Mar 22, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?$7.01Mar 22, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?$5.00Mar 22, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?$0.50Mar 22, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 15–20%?$5.00Mar 22, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 15–20%?$5.00Mar 22, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?$20.00Mar 22, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$40.00Mar 22, 19:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $21.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 16:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 21:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".