CryptoExpires May 1, 2026

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?

Probability

48¢

1h

-1.0pp

24h

+2.0pp

24h Vol

$35.9K

Liquidity

$41.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 22:00Apr 25, 2026, 22:00
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  • 1

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 48¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 126.0h

    LOW

Price movement

-3.0pp over the last 24h, now 48¢.

Biggest hourly move: -14.0pp at 15:00 (to 42¢).

Show 7 hourly moves
  • 22:00 · -10.5pp → 48¢
  • 21:00 · -6.0pp → 49¢
  • 17:00 · -7.5pp → 48¢
  • 15:00 · -14.0pp → 42¢
  • 14:00 · -7.5pp → 43¢
  • 12:00 · -12.0pp → 42¢
  • 10:00 · -12.0pp → 44¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventWhat price will Bitcoin hit in April?
Category · Crypto

Market Description

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from the creation of this market to April 30, 11:59 PM ET), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Binance spot pair
Link
binance.com
Type
Exchange price
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket