Scholarly-Worm
0x491f84afb324477e8ccc4c1b4de3c236afdf2b4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?
2398 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.31
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
96 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.70
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
11 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.75
- YES
US civil war before 2027?
11 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.08Apr 7, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.91Apr 7, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00Apr 7, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?$2.45Mar 5, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$2.31Mar 1, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 2?$0.75Mar 1, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$0.30Mar 1, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.14Feb 28, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$6.00Feb 28, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Bilytske by March 31?$0.00Feb 28, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$3.02Feb 28, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$3.00Feb 28, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$4.40Feb 28, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$3.70Feb 27, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Bilytske by March 31?$1.00Feb 27, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?$0.55Feb 27, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?$0.45Feb 27, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?$0.38Feb 27, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Bilytske by March 31?$1.00Feb 26, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$0.87Feb 26, 03:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 20:54 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 16:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.