Impure-Accordance-Fang
0x492f7c119b63a367b1b7289fe37f4f44aa6f8144
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$225.34
Total PnL
$5.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
181 shares @ 36.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$176.40
$111.40
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
1656 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$37.25
$-12.75
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?
685 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.50
$-18.49
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
326 shares @ 3.1¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.91
$-6.09
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.28
$-8.72
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
7143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Dumb" during Pennsylvania events?$49.48Jun 23, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Dumb" during Pennsylvania events?$1.39Jun 23, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumb" during Pennsylvania events?$40.31Jun 23, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumb" during Pennsylvania events?$5.08Jun 23, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?$10.01Jun 23, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$30.00Jun 23, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$95.21Jun 23, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$60.82Jun 23, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$13.00Jun 22, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?$5.20Jun 22, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$9.50Jun 22, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$90.00Jun 22, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$25.67Jun 22, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$52.64Jun 21, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$12.00Jun 21, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$20.00Jun 21, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$17.33Jun 21, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$50.00Jun 20, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$40.00Jun 20, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?$10.38Jun 20, 12:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $38.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 15:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 21:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.