Lost-Workbench
0x493f4344191a893732ffe2e5fd83a665744aeee8
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$51.75
Total PnL
$-214.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
52 shares @ 38.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$51.75
$31.75
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?
7251 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-61.29
- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
251 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
170 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?
170 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
143 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
59 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
54 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?
36 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.45
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.71Mar 18, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00Mar 4, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$5.00Feb 16, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$0.00Jan 30, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?$10.00Jan 30, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?$5.00Jan 30, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?$10.45Jan 29, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?$20.00Jan 29, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?$20.00Jan 29, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?$10.00Jan 28, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?$40.00Jan 28, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?$20.00Jan 27, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$20.00Jan 27, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$20.00Jan 27, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?$20.00Jan 27, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?$6.30Jan 27, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$20.00Jan 26, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.63Jan 20, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$20.00Jan 20, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$20.00Jan 20, 17:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $15.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 19:03 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 13:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.