PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires May 26, 2026

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Probability

42¢

+0.5pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$9.5K

Liquidity

$58.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+2.0pp 7d

Apr 17, 2026, 22:00Apr 24, 2026, 21:30

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 746.5h
LOW
21:31Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 746h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
13:00Price
Probability up 3.5pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
10:00Price
Probability up 3.5pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability up 3.5pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability up 3.5pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability up 3.5pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability up 3.5pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 4.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 4.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 4.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 3.5pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 3.5pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventTexas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Category · Politics

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: May 26, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

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