Roasted-Broker
0x499e3fa15ce712080b2cb9410bb31194fa0fc9d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$10.12
Total PnL
$-2.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.16
$0.02
- NO
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.38
$0.00
- NO
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.13
$-0.01
- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.10
$0.02
- NO
Will FIFA World Cup 2026 be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$1.10
$-0.04
- NO
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.09
$0.01
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.08
$0.00
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.07
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on November 25?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bill Ackman say "Fannie" 20+ times during the X Space event on November 18?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FIFA World Cup 2026 be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?$1.15Jun 14, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by June 15?$1.14Jun 14, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$2.14May 30, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 8?$1.08May 9, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.07Apr 30, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by 2025?$1.26Apr 29, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?$1.38Apr 29, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill France strike Iran by March 31?$1.57Apr 29, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?$1.08Apr 29, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?$1.38Apr 29, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by April 30?$1.08Apr 15, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?$1.35Mar 30, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France strike Iran by March 31?$1.56Mar 29, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?$2.48Dec 30, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by 2025?$1.26Dec 30, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$0.82Dec 29, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$10.46Dec 29, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$11.28Dec 29, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.10Dec 24, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.54Dec 24, 02:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $4.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 03:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.