Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$40.4K
Liquidity
$28.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
-10.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 107h with open resolution ambiguity.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 106.6h
- 13:24SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 107h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.3pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.3pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.8pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.2pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.8pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.8pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.8pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.3pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.3pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.7pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.1pp
to 4¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
7- 0¢-0.1pp
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $3.5M
- 3¢-1.1pp
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $635.9K
- 0¢-0.2pp
Trump out as President by April 30?
Politics · Vol $506.0K
- 5¢0.0pp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $458.7K
- 0¢+0.2pp
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $372.7K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $346.2K
Market Description
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by April 30 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- 0x5dfd…d79520.0K
- Well-Worn-Workbench11.2K
- Angry-Evaluation7.5K
- Elastic-Senator4.4K
- Skinny-Class3.0K
- Accurate-Spirit19.8K
- Limping-Veil16.2K
- Hideous-Racer6.3K
- Oval-Gasp3.1K
- Wicked-Implication2.1K