Spiteful-Catch
0x49a1596d14b8e1b00cc78099cdc067157372c616
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-43.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 30-July 6?
161 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 16?
121 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.82
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 12?
118 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.48
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $236 Week of March 30 2026?
111 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.78
- YES
Will Solana dip to $80 on March 12?
103 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.19
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 6?
98 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 22?
82 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on July 1?
77 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.39
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 13?
71 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.49
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 14?
71 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 12?$68.40Jul 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 12?$67.10Jul 11, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 30-July 6?$2.23Jul 6, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on July 1?$2.55Jun 30, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 30?$72.17May 31, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 30?$70.51May 29, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$80.31May 18, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$78.14May 18, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 12?$2.65May 11, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 1?$16.87May 10, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 22?$0.00Apr 27, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down on April 25?$1.17Apr 25, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $71 Week of April 13 2026?$2.80Apr 17, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 16?$1.96Apr 16, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.20 March 30-April 5?$74.78Apr 13, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 11?$1.57Apr 11, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 6?$1.68Apr 6, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 March 30-April 5?$0.11Apr 5, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 March 30-April 5?$72.43Apr 5, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of March 30 2026?$74.79Apr 5, 20:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $26.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 01:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.