Spotted-Reasoning
0x49a8c6ea1146a69b299cf7d5be3a63b366937153
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-765.11
Realised
$-63.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
500 shares @ 87.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$375.00
$-60.00
- NO
3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch?
318 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$303.33
$7.94
- UNDER
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
460 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$236.90
$-2.30
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
400 shares @ 74.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$194.00
$-102.00
- YES
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?
177 shares @ 80.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$138.69
$-2.65
- YES
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?
500 shares @ 13.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$132.50
$67.50
- NO
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
250 shares @ 39.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$98.75
$1.25
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
400 shares @ 54.4¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$90.00
$-127.56
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
227 shares @ 68.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$62.48
$-92.01
- NO
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?
68 shares @ 11.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$53.79
$46.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$45.65Jun 13, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$12.79Jun 13, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$31.97Jun 13, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$3.90Jun 13, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$3.20Jun 13, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$17.55Jun 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$0.55Jun 12, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?$143.32Jun 12, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUY3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch?$296.83Jun 12, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$10.98Jun 12, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score$49.75Jun 12, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5$242.64Jun 12, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$33.76Jun 12, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?$100.22Jun 12, 10:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$31.58Jun 6, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paradex launch a token by December 31 2026?$20.04Jun 6, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$295.00Jun 6, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum flipped in 2026?$499.99Jun 6, 13:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $152.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 11:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 02:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.