Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?
Probability
30¢
1h
-2.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+10.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6016h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 7.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6016.1h
- 12:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6016h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:54PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 28¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 32¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 32¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 31¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 32¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 30¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 30¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 31¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 29¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 27¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 29¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 28¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
4Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ConsenSys (the parent company of MetaMask) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If ConsenSys is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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