Improbable-Sculpture
0x49abe35ebe6b47880e26608534128eff1e5723d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-20.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
600 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$581.10
$53.10
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
500 shares @ 86.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$468.75
$38.77
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
200 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$181.00
$15.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
100 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.50
$2.50
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
30 shares @ 54.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.80
$-8.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
2778 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-471.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
2604 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-571.56
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
1132 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-18.58
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
1092 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-382.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
809 shares @ 39.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-320.79
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $5.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".