Fatherly-Fun
0x49adae1064a46e644cc3130ec228c440487550d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
154
Open notional
$132.45
Total PnL
$-179.94
Realised
$7.71
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 154- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10324 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$129.05
$38.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.68
$-0.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
69 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
65 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- HORNETS
Cavaliers vs. Hornets
61 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
50 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$60.05Jun 2, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLCallum Turner announced as next James Bond?$0.12Jun 2, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.74Jun 2, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.38Jun 2, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.76May 27, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.12May 27, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.26May 27, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Bayern München leading at halftime?$1.02May 23, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.02Apr 16, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Apr 7, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Apr 7, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?$1.90Mar 31, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?$1.00Mar 30, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?$0.00Mar 29, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$1.92Mar 14, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?$1.00Mar 11, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Mar 10, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Mar 10, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Feb 26, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?$1.49Feb 26, 18:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 18:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 11:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".