Understated-Normalisation
0x49bd1dba6204b636fab1f75afee77f314670e8ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$70.02
Total PnL
$0.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?
50 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$48.63
$-0.02
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
64 shares @ 7.8¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
54 shares @ 9.2¢·now 9.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?
50 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.15
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$48.65May 20, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?$1.15May 20, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$58.65May 20, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?$0.00May 20, 05:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?$14.50May 19, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?$1.03May 19, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?$10.09May 19, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?$14.03May 19, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$1.95May 19, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$4.21May 19, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?$2.50May 19, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$3.06May 19, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$93.07May 19, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.92May 19, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$58.74May 19, 16:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.18May 18, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?$3.07May 18, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?$10.16May 18, 14:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $51.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 10:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 07:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".