Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

1. 1

   Down 1pp over 24h

   Now 37¢; flat in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 2026h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $10.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Brazil during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.