Considerate-Raven
0x49bfd21c2ac3ff512560242e4da117e94aa77803
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$10.67
Total PnL
$-15.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
46 shares @ 10.9¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.66
$2.64
- YES
Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
7980 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
4320 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
4100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
3940 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
3900 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
3300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.01Mar 27, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)$1.00Feb 3, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)$1.00Feb 3, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$1.00Feb 3, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.09Feb 3, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$3.05Feb 3, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.01Jan 6, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.04Jan 6, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.05Jan 6, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$2.09Jan 6, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 16, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.00Dec 16, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 9, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.00Dec 2, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Dec 2, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$2.00Nov 26, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$30.00Nov 13, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$7.7KOct 30, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$4.0KOct 30, 08:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $821.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 06:21 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 02:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".