Delectable-Premium
0x49d4e0f5366a1a4691cc456e649e8295c7adec2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
59
Open notional
$98.91
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-0.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
46 shares @ 88.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$46.11
$5.11
- YES
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
23 shares @ 87.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.75
$2.75
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
18 shares @ 86.6¢·now 89.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$16.43
$0.43
- YES
Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
5 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$5.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 88.6¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.47
$-0.53
- NO
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
4 shares @ 89.5¢·now 88.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$3.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
25000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
5175 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-150.99
- 90K
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
4308 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-449.99
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
2750 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$5.26Jan 10, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$5.62Jan 10, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$11.36Jan 10, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$5.26Jan 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?$5.28Jan 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein client list released in 2025?$5.43Jan 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$6.17Jan 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Yemen by December 31?$6.67Jan 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$6.98Jan 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$7.14Jan 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$8.47Jan 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?$11.38Jan 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMRussian strike on a NATO member by December 31?$15.25Jan 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli parliament dissolved by December 31?$16.72Jan 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$20.83Jan 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$20.88Jan 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $260 before 2026?$21.05Jan 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?$21.98Jan 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Canada election called in 2025?$23.28Jan 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?$30.00Jan 4, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 10:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 03:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.