Emotional-Council
0x49e94011df9060dcc367995892faeb193e348f85
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$92.5K
Total PnL
$-92.8K
Realised
$-7.5K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
22708 shares @ 90.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$22.7K
$2.2K
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
18100 shares @ 88.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$18.0K
$1.9K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
13158 shares @ 76.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.1K
$3.1K
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
11340 shares @ 96.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.2K
$342.60
- NO
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
18260 shares @ 53.7¢·now 47.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$8.6K
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
7684 shares @ 91.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.6K
$592.32
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
6525 shares @ 84.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.5K
$986.24
- NO
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
2796 shares @ 89.4¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.7K
$231.70
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
2295 shares @ 89.2¢·now 87.3¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$2.0K
$-43.87
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
27027 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$95.00Jul 27, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$3.0KJul 27, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$2.4KJul 27, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$4.2KJul 27, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$1.3KJul 27, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$2.6KJul 27, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$2.7KJul 27, 02:39 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.00Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$105.45Jul 24, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3.0KJul 24, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$5.6KJul 24, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$1.1KJul 24, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$5.4KJul 24, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?$15.3KJul 22, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$910.00Jul 19, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$8.2KJul 19, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.0KJul 19, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.7KJul 18, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$7.9KJul 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$232.26Jul 17, 07:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$55.8K
Trades
1
Buy share
64%
Window
May 26, 07:20 UTC → Jul 16, 02:46 UTC
- BUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$15.0K@97¢Jun 18, 12:15 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 5 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
64%
Sample
limited
5 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
$20.3K · 36% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.9K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 02:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.