0x4a07ad6d3ed1ae279af36dcd41c1c7ef3e7f4948
0x4a07ad6d3ed1ae279af36dcd41c1c7ef3e7f4948
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$77.22
Total PnL
$-18.59
Realised
$1.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
310 shares @ 18.4¢·now 18.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$57.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
73 shares @ 8.2¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.84
$-1.15
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18 shares @ 16.8¢·now 13.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
87 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.79
$-3.21
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
38 shares @ 5.2¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 10.6¢·now 8.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.05Jun 18, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$3.45Jun 18, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.07Jun 18, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1.06Jun 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.08Jun 18, 03:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?$1.03Jun 17, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$1.03Jun 17, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo?$1.03Jun 17, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.16Jun 17, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$2.16Jun 17, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$2.18Jun 17, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$2.13Jun 17, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$2.15Jun 17, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.72Jun 17, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$2.08Jun 17, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.17Jun 17, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-16?$5.97Jun 17, 01:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 0 Senegal?$1.04Jun 16, 13:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 15:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 09:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.