Flawed-Creek
0x4a12cdc86cb213878a34077f105302011b259d86
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
81
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
56369 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-99.94
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
48000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
Will Lot 13 Ernst Ludwig Kirchner’s “Fränzi mit Pfeilbogen” sell for 3m or more?
21616 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-49.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Lot 7 Henri Matisse’s “Figure décorative” sell for 15m or more?
15546 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-40.89
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 3?
4143 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-415.28
- YES
Will Rob Riggle win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?
3011 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
2857 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on November 18?$0.00Feb 5, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on November 14?$0.00Feb 5, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on November 5?$0.00Feb 5, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$100.00Feb 5, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$20.00Feb 5, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$16.00Dec 15, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - December 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$112.72Dec 15, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$70.28Dec 15, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$70.29Dec 15, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$116.55Dec 15, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$3.00Dec 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLHan Duck-soo in jail by December 31?$1.90Dec 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.89Dec 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?$11.82Dec 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?$11.43Dec 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWhite girlfriend who shot Black bf guilty? $0.35Dec 13, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?$14.87Dec 13, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLSyria strikes Israel by December 31?$13.10Dec 13, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$50.98Dec 13, 15:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 13, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $43.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 21:00 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 15:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.