Mindless-Beating
0x4a19a897316c176504db029ecbb7cf7e76f6c9e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?
15673 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-253.78
- YES
Ethereum all time high by June 30?
13182 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-218.99
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?
13055 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-238.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?
10000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in September?
2500 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-325.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
226 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-52.03
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on September 7?
200 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$45.32Jun 24, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$23.75Jun 23, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$29.12Jun 23, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$10.50Jun 16, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$10.40Jun 16, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$16.55Jun 16, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$7.29Jun 16, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.63Jun 15, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 15, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.48Jun 15, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$7.40Jun 15, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$52.99Jun 15, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$33.00Jun 15, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.25Jun 15, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.45Jun 15, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.33Jun 15, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.97Jun 15, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K in September?$2.69Sep 30, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K in September?$0.03Sep 30, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K in September?$0.24Sep 30, 08:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 29, 13:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 15:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.