Smug-Vibraphone
0x4a1aa1ffb173097dfaa9ff2ec6b4cd5e80d65415
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$31.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
459 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$458.79
$0.92
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
458 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$458.00
$2.75
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
423 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$423.06
$11.42
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?
363 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$362.91
$0.36
- NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
330 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$329.82
$0.33
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?
268 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$268.00
$0.27
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
174 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$174.00
$0.17
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
79 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$79.49
$15.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$173.83May 16, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?$267.74May 16, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$455.36May 16, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?$362.57May 16, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$457.94May 16, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$64.88May 16, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$329.51May 16, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$412.19May 16, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$81.96May 16, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$241.00May 16, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$346.00May 16, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$358.00May 16, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$80.93Apr 2, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$332.16Apr 2, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$238.59Apr 2, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$336.52Apr 2, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$45.45Apr 2, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $400 in March?$57.06Apr 2, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$111.11Apr 2, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$113.11Apr 2, 05:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $214.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 07:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 03:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.