Scratchy-Speed
0x4a2313b6abb5229f02cd380c9fb7a884ecef079f
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$55.7K
Total PnL
$-21.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
15000 shares @ 96.0¢·now 91.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.7K
$-682.86
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
18891 shares @ 54.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.1K
$850.07
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
7500 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$7.5K
$2.3K
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
14888 shares @ 58.7¢·now 43.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.4K
$-2.3K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6287 shares @ 95.7¢·now 97.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.1K
$131.90
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5000 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.9K
$71.86
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
5000 shares @ 69.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.3K
$-124.88
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
1000 shares @ 70.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.0K
$298.50
- NO
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
1000 shares @ 78.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$215.00
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$632.50
$-117.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$3.81Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.80Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.82Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.84Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.85Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.84Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.84Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.82Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.83Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.82Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.84Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.83Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.84Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$3.83Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.83Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$3.83Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.82Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.81Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.81Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$3.82Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.