Faraway-Banner
0x4a3b175cecf7bc963ec4e89309a71691f947d5e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$11.92
Total PnL
$-19.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$6.28
$1.28
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
21 shares @ 19.0¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.22
$0.22
- NO
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by Sep 30?
53 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2023$0.00
$-5.00
- NO CHANGE
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.05Jun 2, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$8.64Jan 31, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$5.00Jan 31, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$1.00Jan 31, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$8.70Jan 24, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$1.58Jan 11, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$16.89Jan 10, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Jan 5, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$12.00Jan 5, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?$1.43Jan 3, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$5.00Dec 23, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$1.00Dec 9, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.00Dec 1, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Nov 28, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.39Nov 25, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.27Nov 25, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$2.00Nov 23, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.00Nov 23, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? $1.00Nov 23, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?$1.00Nov 23, 17:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $10.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 16:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 03:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".