Infinite-Shortwave
0x4a55c375386f14c5c4058d2db7d080500bd42dc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$13.49
Total PnL
$-67.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
14 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$13.49
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 6?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 28?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
733 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $180 on November 18?
408 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
400 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 8-14?
400 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-9.20
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13.50Jul 17, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$59.18Jun 17, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14?$18.13Jun 14, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14?$18.01Jun 14, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2.31Jun 14, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$59.01Jun 14, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?$15.02Jun 3, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or below on June 3?$64.06Jun 3, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?$15.00Jun 3, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?$2.14Jun 3, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or below on June 3?$64.00Jun 3, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on May 27?$81.08May 28, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on May 27?$81.00May 26, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$81.08May 23, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$81.01May 22, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in May 2026?$19.02May 21, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$62.37May 20, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in May 2026?$19.00May 19, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.10May 19, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$62.01May 19, 10:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $48.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 11:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 11:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.