Lopsided-Stitcher
0x4a5da56a1c8df9a94c55f62493d9f93930d517ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$375.78
Total PnL
$-524.23
Realised
$-96.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
321 shares @ 65.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$210.33
$1.61
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?
290 shares @ 61.7¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$165.45
$-13.54
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
462 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-192.59
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in June?
206 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-72.00
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 8 2026?
174 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-82.00
- DOWN
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 8?
98 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-58.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?
18 shares @ 39.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on May 28?
14 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?$27.51Jun 19, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?$127.49Jun 19, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?$1.02Jun 19, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?$23.37Jun 19, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $198 Week of June 15 2026?$364.95Jun 18, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 Week of June 15 2026?$104.22Jun 18, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $510 Week of June 15 2026?$100.40Jun 18, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$211.64Jun 18, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $510 Week of June 15 2026?$100.02Jun 18, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 Week of June 15 2026?$104.01Jun 18, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$415.10Jun 18, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$198.49Jun 17, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$24.77Jun 17, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?$224.10Jun 17, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$51.25Jun 17, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$102.89Jun 17, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16?$0.00Jun 17, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $198 Week of June 15 2026?$203.62Jun 16, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16?$101.56Jun 16, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16?$101.60Jun 16, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $110.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 13:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 05:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.