Shadowy-Jug
0x4a6178a43ee422c08aa30fd543aae9b59ffd1982
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.51
Total PnL
$-91.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Shooting" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-17?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Biden" during dinner with Dutch royals?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Rembrandt" or "Vermeer" during dinner with Dutch royals?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Powerball jackpot hit $2 billion by December 31?
78 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sudan win on 2025-12-24?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Getafe CF win on 2026-05-23?$7.14May 24, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-23?$5.12May 23, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?$12.40May 23, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getafe CF win on 2026-05-23?$2.04May 23, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?$5.08May 23, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?$5.10May 23, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$11.76May 23, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$8.08May 17, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getafe CF win on 2026-05-17?$5.15May 17, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?$7.08May 17, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?$10.40May 16, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$10.51May 16, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?$5.08May 16, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Braga win on 2026-05-16?$6.08May 16, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$6.08May 16, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?$0.79May 16, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend" or "Ally" 7+ times during dinner with Dutch royals?$1.00Apr 14, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rembrandt" or "Vermeer" during dinner with Dutch royals?$1.00Apr 14, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" during dinner with Dutch royals?$1.00Apr 14, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 7+ times during dinner with Dutch royals?$1.00Apr 14, 01:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 23:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 10:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".