Good-Pavement
0x4a64915606ccee85b936d1b13587707ee499b167
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$89.09
Total PnL
$-15.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
89 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$89.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on February 4?
1150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 29?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?
891 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.78
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 19?
497 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 20?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- VIKINGS
Vikings vs. Steelers
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?$89.01Jun 6, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$89.09Jun 6, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$89.00May 26, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$89.09May 26, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$89.00May 22, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?$89.09May 22, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?$89.01May 17, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?$89.09May 17, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?$89.00May 11, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?$89.09May 11, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?$89.01May 6, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?$89.09May 6, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?$89.01May 2, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?$89.08May 2, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?$89.00Apr 25, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 20?$88.08Apr 25, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 20?$88.00Apr 20, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$88.08Apr 20, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$88.00Apr 16, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 12?$88.08Apr 16, 12:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $78.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 08:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 07:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.