Well-Lit-Punishment
0x4a89c897f07397fe26b58defa6beb5c52a3afced
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$-185.48
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Microsoft have the top AI model on September 30?
9130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.13
- YES
Will Moonshot have the top AI model on September 30?
8470 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.47
- YES
Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on September 30?
7260 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.26
- YES
Will Tencent have the top AI model on September 30?
5920 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.92
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on September 30?
5050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.05
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
4360 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
3000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
- YES
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
2782 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.78
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
1880 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.88
- NO
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
982 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-363.34
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks$319.15Jun 9, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$152.38Jun 9, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$152.38Jun 9, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$201.61Jun 1, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder$400.00May 31, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$168.00May 30, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLThunder vs. Spurs$198.80May 29, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$121.44May 29, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$90.84May 26, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$38.66May 26, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Spurs$241.38May 25, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$141.76May 24, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$115.00May 22, 23:49 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.77May 7, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$221.68May 6, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$896.94May 6, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$847.44May 6, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$853.38May 6, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.00May 6, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$74.45May 6, 06:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $256.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 19:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 03:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.