Fixed-Mood
0x4a954c3b85d69c58097aab921cf4b0490aac8d9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$18.64
Total PnL
$-49.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.63
$10.63
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$1.05
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
25000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 3, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.10May 3, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.10May 3, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$1.00Apr 28, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$1.00Feb 26, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$1.00Feb 26, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$1.00Feb 26, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?$1.00Feb 26, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?$1.00Feb 26, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$1.00Feb 26, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?$1.00Feb 26, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$1.00Feb 26, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.00Feb 26, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Kevin Warsh in February?$1.00Feb 26, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?$1.00Feb 26, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Feb 26, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$0.00Feb 26, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.18Feb 26, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$4.17Feb 26, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 17?$1.00Jan 17, 10:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 09:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".