Bitter-Metaphor
0x4a98b71878d80069b0b56574e73c2170d6423113
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$8.4K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
9000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.2K
$225.00
- YES
Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?
271 shares @ 72.5¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$203.06
$6.62
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3300 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-174.90
- KHAMZAT CHIMAEV
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
3204 shares @ 80.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.73Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?$189.55Jul 25, 10:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMFC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: FC St. Gallen O/U 2.5$8.9KJul 24, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: FC St. Gallen O/U 2.5$2.0KJul 23, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: FC St. Gallen O/U 2.5$82.57Jul 23, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: FC St. Gallen O/U 2.5$145.72Jul 23, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: FC St. Gallen O/U 2.5$145.72Jul 23, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: FC St. Gallen O/U 2.5$145.72Jul 23, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: FC St. Gallen O/U 2.5$6.2KJul 23, 16:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?$9.41Jul 22, 20:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$223.37Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.74Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$13.9K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
Jun 14, 12:20 UTC → Jul 1, 21:37 UTC
- SELLSpread: Senegal (-2.5)$7.4K@81¢Jul 1, 21:37 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$7.4K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)
$7.4K · 54% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 19:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.