Lazy-Nudge
0x4aa12fd5032342e2a97e6b509109314442158695
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$-13.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- 9Z
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 16?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 16?
102 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 16?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 16?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on May 16?
24 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.05May 15, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 16?$1.05May 15, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner$1.03May 15, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 16?$1.05May 15, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 16?$1.05May 15, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 16?$1.05May 15, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 15, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.00May 15, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?$6.00May 15, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on May 16?$0.42May 15, 13:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 13:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 13:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".