Friendly-Abdomen
0x4aa50a242a41ae5452660c8e15ae728e94486bc9
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$70.84
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$83.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3829 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$70.84
$24.89
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
32373 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?
24660 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-24.66
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
24177 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-103.91
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
12598 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-72.40
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
11836 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-118.36
- YES
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
5042 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-19.14
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 15-18
2439 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-12.86
- YES
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
2439 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-24.81
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
2305 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$39.32Jun 3, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$47.31Jun 2, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$35.97Jun 2, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$11.22Mar 18, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$11.21Mar 18, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$5.81Mar 18, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$5.82Mar 18, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$2.22Mar 18, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$1.00Mar 18, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$1.00Mar 18, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$4.90Mar 18, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$5.41Mar 18, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$4.70Mar 18, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$4.92Mar 18, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$4.50Mar 18, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$5.41Mar 18, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$5.00Mar 18, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$0.53Mar 18, 01:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $7.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 01:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".