Mild-Quiche
0x4aa574f1009e3e8a8e2f9df2eaeb15803d9cff5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$338.11
Total PnL
$-73.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
100 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$100.00
$2.10
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
80 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$80.00
$16.80
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
75 shares @ 59.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$75.00
$30.07
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
50 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$50.00
$3.01
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
28 shares @ 63.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$28.15
$10.22
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5 shares @ 76.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.96
$1.11
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
138 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.04
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
116 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.88
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
74 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$30.00Apr 28, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$44.92Apr 18, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$17.93Apr 18, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$97.90Apr 15, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$46.99Apr 15, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$63.20Apr 15, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$15.00Apr 15, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$16.00Apr 15, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$23.00Apr 15, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$50.00Apr 15, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$50.00Apr 15, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$61.00Apr 15, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$174.00Apr 15, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$49.88Mar 13, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$50.01Mar 13, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$5.04Mar 13, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$49.75Mar 13, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$47.40Mar 13, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?$3.94Mar 13, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$14.80Mar 13, 01:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $31.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 02:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 05:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.