Quarterly-Crayon
0x4abad28bb46595cb5154ab99dfa0c48ee648eab0
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$499.27
Total PnL
$-485.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
386 shares @ 77.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$385.56
$85.56
- YES
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
114 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$113.72
$37.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
1484 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-493.84
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
426 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?
168 shares @ 56.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-95.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$76.19Mar 30, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$500.00Feb 28, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$474.90Feb 28, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$300.00Feb 23, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$242.27Feb 23, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$0.00Feb 21, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$200.00Feb 21, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$59.32Feb 21, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$300.00Feb 21, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$24.97Jan 31, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$20.00Jan 31, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$35.00Jan 31, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$59.60Jan 15, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?$20.37Jan 15, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$97.44Jan 15, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?$73.51Oct 28, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?$20.00Oct 28, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$20.00Oct 28, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?$21.62Oct 22, 15:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $154.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 15:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.