Heavenly-Package
0x4ae53924e9a6b86293305cdf26d26bd094a56079
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$111.34
Total PnL
$-677.84
Realised
$-8.58
Win rate
17%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $10.5B by July 31?
40 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$34.40
$-1.60
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 87.9¢·now 57.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$28.48
$-15.47
- NO
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?
20 shares @ 84.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$15.70
$-1.10
- NO
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?
20 shares @ 84.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$14.60
$-2.20
- YES
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by July 31?
100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by July 31?
100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.05
$-7.95
- YES
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by July 31?
50 shares @ 11.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.77
$-2.73
- NO
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 87.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.58
$-0.11
- NO
Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?
99 shares @ 10.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$2.58
$-7.35
- NO
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.15
$-10.85
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?$10.00Jul 5, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Newmont (NEM) Q2 total attributable gold production be above 1,200 koz?$17.60Jul 5, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?$4.20Jul 5, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 15?$8.20Jul 5, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 15?$8.40Jul 5, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?$41.50Jul 5, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?$42.00Jul 5, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.34Jul 5, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.00Jul 5, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?$3.64Jul 5, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?$3.20Jul 5, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$0.76Jul 5, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$1.90Jul 5, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$174.76Jul 5, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$176.20Jul 5, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "New Record" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?$0.80Jul 5, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $4B by December 31?$24.21Jul 5, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $4B by December 31?$0.83Jul 5, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?$8.10Jul 5, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?$88.69Jul 5, 04:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $35.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 00:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 12:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.