Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Probability
23¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+13.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$213.30
Probability (last 7 days)
-14.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 13pp over 24h
Now 23¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5978h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 35.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5977.6h
- 22:21SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5978h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+12.5pp over the last 24h, now 22¢.
Biggest hourly move: -23.5pp at 2d ago (to 10¢).
Show top 8 of 35 hourly moves
- 03:00 · -9.0pp → 10¢
- 02:00 · -9.0pp → 10¢
- 2d ago · -9.5pp → 10¢
- 2d ago · -17.5pp → 10¢
- 2d ago · -13.5pp → 10¢
- 2d ago · -13.0pp → 10¢
- 2d ago · -20.5pp → 10¢
- 2d ago · -23.5pp → 10¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryto the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's weddingTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (35.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.