Lean-Sake
0x4af40d1654f7ea8c4370899556ed871b0fe2f18c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$10.71
Total PnL
$-3.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.44
$2.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$3.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
19 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$340.22May 2, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$3.02May 1, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$341.07May 1, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLNew "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28? $1.2KFeb 17, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28? $1.2KFeb 16, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$5.00Feb 16, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$6.00Feb 16, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$17.13Feb 16, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$8.00Oct 4, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMLiverpool wins the Premier League?$12.29Oct 4, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$32.95Oct 4, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.00Feb 18, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maccabi TLV win the UEFA Europa League?$20.90Jan 26, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maccabi TLV win the UEFA Europa League?$50.00Jan 23, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$18.72Jan 23, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$29.00Dec 24, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool wins the Premier League?$5.00Nov 17, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$189.80Nov 17, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$5.00Nov 16, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$200.00Nov 16, 19:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $217.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 19:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 13:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".